It is expected that future transportation technologies will positively impact how passengers travel to their destinations. Europe aims to integrate air transport into the overall multimodal transport network to provide better service to passengers, while reducing travel time and making the network more resilient to disruptions. This study presents an approach that investigates these aspects by developing a simulation platform consisting of different models, allowing us to simulate the complete door-to-door trajectory of passengers. To address the future potential, we devised scenarios considering three time horizons: 2025, 2035, and 2050. The experimental design allowed us to identify potential obstacles for future travel, the impact on the system’s resilience, and how the integration of novel technology affects proxy indicators of the level of service, such as travel time or speed. In this paper, we present for the first time an innovative methodology that enables the modelling and simulation of door-to-door travel to investigate the future performance of the transport network. We apply this methodology to the case of a travel trajectory from Germany to Amsterdam considering a regional and a hub airport; it was built considering current information and informed assumptions for future horizons. Results indicate that, with the new technology, the system becomes more resilient and generally performs better, as the mean speed and travel time are improved. Furthermore, they also indicate that the performance could be further improved considering other elements such as algorithmic governance.
MULTIFILE
It is expected that future transportation technologies will positively impact how passengers travel to their destinations. Europe aims to integrate air transport into the overall multimodal transport network to provide better service to passengers, while reducing travel time and making the network more resilient to disruptions. This study presents an approach that investigates these aspects by developing a simulation platform consisting of different models, allowing us to simulate the complete door-to-door trajectory of passengers. To address the future potential, we devised scenarios considering three time horizons: 2025, 2035, and 2050. The experimental design allowed us to identify potential obstacles for future travel, the impact on the system’s resilience, and how the integration of novel technology affects proxy indicators of the level of service, such as travel time or speed. In this paper, we present for the first time an innovative methodology that enables the modelling and simulation of door-to-door travel to investigate the future performance of the transport network. We apply this methodology to the case of a travel trajectory from Germany to Amsterdam considering a regional and a hub airport; it was built considering current information and informed assumptions for future horizons. Results indicate that, with the new technology, the system becomes more resilient and generally performs better, as the mean speed and travel time are improved. Furthermore, they also indicate that the performance could be further improved considering other elements such as algorithmic governance.
MULTIFILE
This study introduces a novel methodology for the post-analysis of operational predictability by leveraging timestamps collected through the Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM) framework. Focusing on the start-up and departure phases, the analysis highlights the importance of accurately planning and managing key timestamps, such as the Target Off-Block Time (TOBT) and Target Start-Up Approval Time (TSAT), which are critical for operational efficiency. Using one week of sample data from Schiphol Airport, this research demonstrates the potential benefits of the proposed framework in improving predictability during the start-up phase, particularly by identifying and analyzing outliers and anomalies. The start-up phase, a critical component of the outbound process, was broken down into subphases to allow for a more detailed assessment. The findings suggest that while 96% of flights maintain TOBT accuracy within ±20 minutes, 68% of flights miss their TOBT by 2 to 17.5 minutes, with 364 notable outliers. These deviations highlight areas for further investigation, with future work aiming to explore the impact of influencing factors such as weather, resource availability, and support tools. The proposed framework serves as a foundation for improving operational predictability and efficiency at airports.
